JPMorgan Beats 4Q 2020 Estimates on Record Trading Revenue

JPMorgan Beats 4Q 2020 Estimates on Record Trading Revenue
January 18, 2021

 

JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE: JPM) reported its fiscal 2020 fourth-quarter results that comfortably surpassed Wall Street estimates mainly due to the trading division’s breathtaking performance and a lift from releasing funds earlier reserved for loan write-offs. Despite the upbeat results, the stock lost 1.79% or $2.53 to close at $138.64.

The New York-based bank reported fourth-quarter revenue (managed) of $30.161 billion, compared with $29.165 billion in the comparable quarter of fiscal 2019. Analysts polled by Refinitiv had anticipated the company to post revenues of $28.70 billion for the reported quarter. Net income (reported basis) in 4Q 2020 was $29.20 billion, an increase from $28.30 billion last year.

For the fourth quarter of fiscal 2020, the bank posted net income of $12.136 billion, or $3.79 per share, an increase of 42% from $8.520 billion, or $2.57 a share in the four-quarter of fiscal 2019. Analysts polled by Refinitiv anticipated the company to post earnings of $2.62 per share for the quarter.

The banking behemoth pointed out that 4Q 2020 results include $2.90 billion released from the tons of cash reserved for anticipated loan defaults in the latest quarter. That lifted earnings by about $1.90 billion, or $0.72 per share, after write-offs of $1 billion. Even after excluding the $0.72 per share earned from the release of a portion of credit reserves, the company would have beaten analysts’ estimates for the quarter.

During the quarter, credit loss provision was a positive (benefit) $1.90 billion due to reserve releases, compared with a negative (charge) of $1.40 billion in the previous year.

Commenting on the results, Jamie Dimon, CEO of JP Morgan, said: “JPMorgan Chase reported strong results in the fourth quarter of 2020, concluding a challenging year where we generated record revenue, benefiting from our diversified business model and dedicated employees.”

Segment-wise,

  • Consumer & Community Banking (CCB) revenues declined 8% y-o-y to $12.728 billion. The decrease was mainly due to deposit margin contraction, partially offset by an increase in deposit balances.
  • Corporate & Investment Bank (CIB) revenues were $11.352 billion, up 17% from last year.

Banking revenue grew 16% to $4.10 billion. Within the banking revenue, investment banking revenue increased 37% to $2.50 billion.

Markets & securities services revenue increased by 18% to $7.20 billion. Within this division, market revenue rose by 20% to $5.90 billion. Fixed income markets revenue increased 15% to $4 billion but missed the $4.12 billion revenue forecast by Refinitiv. Equity markets revenue appreciated 32% to $2 billion and surpassed the $1.84 billion revenue anticipated by analysts surveyed by Refinitiv. Securities services revenue, however, declined 1% to $1.10 billion.

  • Commercial Banking (CB) revenues were $2.463 billion, an increase of 7% from 4Q19. A rise in deposit balances and fees, an increase in lending revenue due to growth in portfolio spreads, and a rise in investment banking revenue contributed to overall growth.
  • Asset & Wealth Management (AWM) revenues increased by 10% y-o-y to $3.867 billion. The growth was led by improved performance and higher administration charges, in addition to an increase in deposit and loan balances.

Non-interest revenue rose by 13% to $16.80 billion in the fourth quarter. Net interest income declined 7% to $13.40 billion, mainly due to low-interest rates, partially negated by the balance sheet’s growth and increased net interest income (CIB Markets). Non-interest expense decreased 2% to $16 billion.

JP Morgan revealed that it finished FY 2020 with a CET1 ratio of 13.1% and capital of over $200 billion, enabling the Group to spend on business expansion and communities while returning capital and increasing shareholder value.

Last month, JP Morgan announced a share repurchase program worth $30 billion, after the US Fed gave the green light to share repurchases in the first quarter. The company’s CFO, Jennifer Piepszak, informed reporters that the bank could buy back up to $4.50 billion worth of stocks in the first quarter.

The quarterly earnings beat and restart of the share repurchase program are expected to turn the stock range-bound with a slight bullish bias quickly.

The stock has broken above the ascending triangle at 108. There exists minor support at 125. Additionally, the Chaikin money flow indicator also has a positive reading. Therefore, we are anticipating the stock to rally further in the days ahead.

 

jpm - technical analysis - 18th January 2021

Disclaimer: Any financial trading analysis offered here is our opinion and is not intended as advice or direction for investors. We cannot guarantee the success of any trades made as a consequence of this article, and we encourage traders to incorporate a strong money management strategy to limit losses when they enter the markets. Please use this article as part of your own research before formulating strategies prior to trading.

Andrew Wright

Prior to founding tradersasset.com in 2014, Andrew worked as a proprietary trader, then as a market maker. As a market maker, he traded options in over 100 stocks, he then began trading currency pairs in 2013. Andrew still actively trades both, and prides himself on educating and informing traders on the benefits of both Binary Options and Forex.


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